Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–7 on winners spread MAE 8.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi State @ Auburn +13.9 155.0 87% 66–88 ✓
Ole Miss @ Alabama +8.4 156.9 78% 74–64 ✗
Marquette @ DePaul -10.4 147.2 17% 85–83 ✓
Texas A&M @ Kentucky +5.1 157.5 71% 69–81 ✓
Illinois @ Indiana -6.0 151.4 30% 94–69 ✓
North Texas @ East Carolina -5.3 133.0 25% 69–60 ✓
Louisville @ Syracuse -7.7 147.9 22% 85–61 ✓
Saint Louis @ VCU +10.4 141.3 84% 62–78 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +9.7 133.8 85% 94–83 ✗
Toledo @ Akron +7.7 155.9 81% 78–85 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois -13.6 148.5 14% 84–69 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan +6.3 142.6 75% 63–82 ✓
Buffalo @ Bowling Green +5.3 150.1 73% 61–79 ✓
Ball State @ Ohio +6.5 149.1 76% 71–86 ✓
Charlotte @ Wichita State +7.4 147.9 79% 59–68 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +4.8 155.7 72% 64–71 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +10.0 138.3 83% 58–63 ✓
UTSA @ Rice +5.1 143.5 74% 90–84 ✗
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +11.6 132.6 87% 56–73 ✓
Providence @ Creighton +7.4 141.5 77% 64–84 ✓
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +1.5 131.9 58% 73–71 ✗
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +5.4 150.2 74% 68–70 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas State -10.4 147.0 20% 61–57 ✓
Oklahoma State @ BYU +12.7 145.0 87% 69–85 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia Tech -4.7 140.4 29% 70–59 ✓
Wyoming @ Boise State +11.3 137.1 87% 55–96 ✓
Missouri @ Florida +11.7 152.5 85% 83–82 ✗
Arkansas @ LSU +2.2 144.9 61% 74–78 ✓
Miami @ Duke +21.2 148.2 91% 54–89 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -8.2 149.9 23% 70–71 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +15.0 132.3 89% 62–68 ✓
Iowa @ USC +0.9 160.1 53% 89–99 ✓
Baylor @ Arizona +5.3 152.0 71% 70–81 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +7.8 130.5 79% 60–75 ✓
UCF @ Arizona State +7.6 145.7 77% 95–89 ✗
Lafayette @ Army +0.8 139.6 55% 68–70 ✓
Lehigh @ Boston University +1.2 130.3 58% 58–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt +10.5 141.3 83% 63–66 ✓
Western Carolina @ VMI +4.8 140.3 69% 50–66 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville +10.9 159.4 87% 92–93 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +7.9 154.6 81% 97–102 ✓
Stanford @ Wake Forest +3.8 138.9 71% 67–80 ✓
Davidson @ La Salle +0.2 147.8 51% 76–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.