I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–7 on winners spread MAE 6.2 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Francis @ Wagner -0.2 123.9 48% 68–70 ✗
William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington +4.1 148.3 68% 74–85 ✓
Brown @ Cornell +8.1 150.2 81% 83–82 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +7.3 137.1 77% 82–67 ✗
Columbia @ Princeton +5.2 151.7 75% 67–71 ✓
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +4.1 142.8 66% 78–70 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Long Island University +6.6 128.0 77% 63–72 ✓
Dartmouth @ Yale +15.4 151.2 89% 67–83 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State +8.4 143.3 82% 61–73 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +3.6 137.8 69% 78–74 ✗
SE Louisiana @ East Texas A&M -6.5 134.2 22% 76–68 ✓
Hofstra @ Drexel +1.0 123.3 56% 55–60 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Southern +1.0 141.9 58% 73–81 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ McNeese +15.7 133.2 88% 59–79 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico +16.2 155.2 90% 67–95 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Incarnate Word +0.5 142.0 50% 85–78 ✗
Georgetown @ Villanova +6.0 137.9 74% 64–63 ✗
Rutgers @ Penn State +6.9 154.1 77% 72–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.