I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–8 on winners spread MAE 7.8 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida @ Alabama +2.9 175.2 60% 99–94 ✗
Clemson @ Boston College -13.5 138.8 14% 78–69 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech -0.1 140.2 50% 70–67 ✓
Chicago State @ Long Island University +11.4 130.8 86% 57–68 ✓
Wagner @ Saint Francis +3.5 130.5 64% 55–58 ✓
Stonehill @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.7 139.5 59% 56–71 ✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut +14.9 143.4 88% 67–86 ✓
Oklahoma State @ UCF +5.3 158.7 72% 70–83 ✓
Kansas State @ Cincinnati +5.3 131.3 70% 54–49 ✗
Pittsburgh @ NC State -2.6 142.4 38% 63–71 ✗
Rhode Island @ Saint Joseph's +9.1 148.4 81% 74–91 ✓
Massachusetts @ St. Bonaventure +8.3 135.1 81% 72–73 ✓
La Salle @ George Mason +11.3 131.8 86% 62–69 ✓
George Washington @ Fordham -2.1 143.2 40% 81–58 ✓
Xavier @ Butler -0.4 150.6 46% 91–78 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +6.8 154.6 77% 63–83 ✓
Colorado @ Texas Tech +15.4 143.5 88% 75–91 ✓
Missouri @ Oklahoma -1.2 161.5 44% 84–96 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City +4.6 133.9 68% 56–73 ✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota -6.4 138.1 25% 74–67 ✓
Marquette @ UConn +1.8 143.1 57% 66–72 ✓
Louisiana @ Old Dominion +0.2 134.5 51% 49–67 ✓
Tennessee @ Ole Miss -1.7 137.3 43% 76–78 ✗
California @ Louisville +15.0 151.3 89% 68–85 ✓
Stanford @ Notre Dame +1.3 142.0 58% 54–56 ✓
Davidson @ Loyola Chicago +3.4 141.7 69% 72–82 ✓
Morehead State @ Lindenwood -0.0 131.6 50% 65–73 ✗
Washington @ USC +7.4 151.1 76% 61–92 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +0.4 155.3 52% 85–86 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State +5.0 136.0 72% 54–70 ✓
San Diego @ Pacific +1.8 143.6 56% 81–77 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State -1.2 148.4 44% 71–80 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.