I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–2 on winners spread MAE 10.3 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Utah State @ UCLA +2.6 141.8 59% 47–72 ✓
Omaha @ St. John's +15.9 148.0 87% 53–83 ✓
UC San Diego @ Michigan +2.4 138.3 58% 65–68 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Texas Tech +13.2 146.9 85% 72–82 ✓
Baylor @ Mississippi State -1.4 145.8 46% 75–72 ✓
Robert Morris @ Alabama +15.5 163.3 87% 81–90 ✓
Lipscomb @ Iowa State +11.8 144.8 83% 55–82 ✓
Colorado State @ Memphis +0.4 144.4 51% 78–70 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Duke +17.8 137.9 87% 49–93 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Saint Mary's +3.2 135.9 63% 56–59 ✓
North Carolina @ Ole Miss +0.2 151.2 53% 64–71 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Maryland +12.6 148.5 84% 49–81 ✓
Norfolk State @ Florida +17.9 150.6 88% 69–95 ✓
Troy @ Kentucky +11.2 149.1 82% 57–76 ✓
New Mexico @ Marquette +0.9 147.2 53% 75–66 ✗
Akron @ Arizona +12.9 166.5 84% 65–93 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.