Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–11 on winners spread MAE 10.1 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana @ Michigan State +7.8 140.5 78% 60–81 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville +5.4 152.1 70% 79–70 ✗
Boston College @ Clemson +15.6 132.7 89% 50–74 ✓
Texas A&M @ Tennessee +7.5 160.4 74% 82–87 ✓
UIC @ Northern Iowa +8.6 126.4 79% 69–61 ✗
George Mason @ Loyola Chicago -12.3 140.0 14% 82–74 ✓
Dayton @ Duquesne -2.5 150.9 36% 71–65 ✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota -0.8 137.5 50% 78–75 ✓
Miami @ Notre Dame -1.7 139.6 45% 81–69 ✓
Massachusetts @ Western Michigan -0.6 149.2 48% 85–82 ✓
Ohio @ Toledo +3.2 150.2 65% 85–101 ✓
Central Michigan @ Miami (OH) +15.5 152.0 90% 61–100 ✓
Ball State @ Akron +18.7 149.8 90% 77–87 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +12.1 142.3 87% 74–78 ✓
UConn @ Seton Hall -4.6 129.6 29% 69–64 ✓
Bradley @ Evansville -6.4 138.6 26% 94–90 ✓
West Virginia @ Houston +11.1 130.5 86% 48–77 ✓
Western Illinois @ Eastern Illinois +7.9 130.2 80% 55–57 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas -2.6 145.4 32% 63–84 ✗
Oregon @ Nebraska +13.2 140.4 87% 55–90 ✓
Alabama @ Mississippi State -4.4 167.7 30% 97–82 ✓
Florida @ Oklahoma -2.6 150.6 41% 96–79 ✓
Colorado State @ Fresno State -3.5 133.6 37% 69–79 ✗
Baylor @ Oklahoma State +3.0 163.5 64% 94–79 ✗
Grand Canyon @ New Mexico +7.9 135.9 79% 64–87 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +10.6 145.9 86% 83–86 ✓
Florida State @ Syracuse +9.5 150.6 83% 86–94 ✓
Air Force @ San José State +8.9 131.0 83% 62–70 ✓
Maryland @ USC +11.7 146.1 87% 71–88 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco -4.3 139.9 31% 82–68 ✓
Boise State @ UNLV -3.8 144.2 30% 85–89 ✗
VCU @ Rhode Island -3.6 138.0 37% 84–75 ✓
Army @ Holy Cross +3.2 138.8 66% 75–82 ✓
Lehigh @ Boston University +4.8 142.9 71% 93–91 ✗
Chattanooga @ Wofford +6.6 146.7 77% 76–67 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina -8.5 144.7 20% 68–72 ✗
Iowa @ Purdue +9.9 141.5 80% 72–79 ✓
High Point @ Winthrop -4.6 157.8 37% 75–92 ✗
Butler @ Xavier -2.6 153.7 44% 75–89 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.