← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →

13–1 on winners spread MAE 7.4 14 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
New Haven @ Chicago State	-1.5	128.8	39%	62–56	✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh	+4.1	145.5	67%	81–88	✓
SE Louisiana @ UT Rio Grande Valley	+6.2	131.8	74%	65–68	✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Nicholls	-5.5	139.9	27%	79–62	✓
Florida A&M @ Mississippi Valley State	-11.4	137.2	15%	62–48	✓
Texas Southern @ Jackson State	+1.3	149.3	55%	89–94	✓
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian	+1.5	138.9	58%	80–82	✓
Lamar @ LSU New Orleans	+1.3	140.1	56%	76–89	✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado	+1.0	147.8	55%	73–68	✗
Montana @ Northern Arizona	-4.2	138.7	31%	98–72	✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hampton	+2.2	136.6	63%	61–82	✓
Toledo @ Massachusetts	+1.0	152.7	60%	82–84	✓
Minnesota @ Ohio State	+9.4	141.1	81%	74–82	✓
Akron @ Buffalo	-4.2	164.8	33%	82–63	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.