Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–14 on winners spread MAE 9.4 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Florida @ UAB -1.0 162.0 46% 82–69 ✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State -4.8 152.4 29% 98–71 ✓
Merrimack @ Iona +1.6 135.4 59% 60–61 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris +4.7 149.1 71% 76–88 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's -3.7 142.0 37% 77–62 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +10.7 138.0 87% 61–62 ✓
Canisius @ Sacred Heart +7.4 136.8 80% 66–69 ✓
Marist @ Siena -1.0 125.4 45% 50–69 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary +1.5 142.9 59% 70–77 ✓
Campbell @ Charleston +3.0 149.3 67% 83–87 ✓
Towson @ Elon +2.9 137.4 66% 72–59 ✗
Monmouth @ Hampton +0.1 132.2 51% 63–65 ✓
Hofstra @ North Carolina A&T -7.6 143.6 22% 78–79 ✗
Stony Brook @ Northeastern +3.6 145.3 65% 95–80 ✗
South Alabama @ James Madison +0.8 137.2 55% 90–83 ✗
Southern Miss @ Georgia State +0.0 138.5 52% 62–69 ✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern -1.3 162.0 43% 85–68 ✓
Texas State @ Coastal Carolina +3.7 139.3 65% 70–72 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida -4.8 157.4 26% 85–87 ✗
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville +2.5 138.1 64% 77–70 ✗
Western Illinois @ Morehead State +8.7 138.4 82% 66–71 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +1.6 146.2 60% 79–62 ✗
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +6.0 142.4 74% 65–70 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Lindenwood +8.8 141.2 82% 68–89 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +0.0 130.1 47% 59–51 ✗
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas +5.6 149.7 77% 69–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Denver -3.5 153.5 36% 82–77 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +6.1 155.1 74% 67–107 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Davis -1.5 149.0 46% 80–74 ✓
Weber State @ Montana +3.0 150.5 68% 65–81 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana State +5.8 140.8 75% 62–74 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho +9.7 152.5 84% 76–86 ✓
Portland State @ Eastern Washington -3.1 148.6 32% 65–61 ✓
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville -0.5 137.4 48% 66–74 ✗
Missouri State @ New Mexico State +8.1 142.2 80% 84–75 ✗
Florida International @ UTEP -2.0 143.1 42% 77–83 ✗
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +3.9 155.2 67% 61–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside -5.9 138.2 29% 80–66 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +14.9 139.1 89% 71–98 ✓
UL Monroe @ App State +13.3 140.3 88% 43–59 ✓
East Carolina @ North Texas +8.9 133.6 84% 63–59 ✗
Mercyhurst @ New Haven -1.0 123.4 45% 61–57 ✓
Stetson @ Austin Peay +12.0 143.5 87% 65–73 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +6.2 152.7 78% 71–86 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Louisiana Tech -2.2 137.7 40% 76–82 ✗
Furman @ UNC Greensboro -4.1 144.0 32% 89–66 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure -10.9 153.1 16% 97–62 ✓
Indiana @ Rutgers -7.6 143.5 24% 82–59 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.