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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.6
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Davidson
@
Oklahoma State
|
+9.0 | 149.1 | 79% | 80–84 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
Tulsa
|
+8.5 | 147.4 | 78% | 84–89 | ✓ |
Texas
@
NC State
|
+1.6 | 160.7 | 55% | 68–66 | ✗ |
St. Thomas
@
Seattle U
|
+2.3 | 135.0 | 62% | 52–67 | ✓ |
South Alabama
@
Auburn
|
+17.7 | 150.7 | 89% | 67–78 | ✓ |
UNLV
@
UC Irvine
|
+4.3 | 148.6 | 70% | 75–72 | ✗ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Lehigh
|
+1.0 | 141.1 | 56% | 67–55 | ✗ |
Navy
@
Wake Forest
|
+11.5 | 143.5 | 85% | 72–82 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.