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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 14.6
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Purdue
@
Arizona
|
+4.5 | 151.9 | 67% | 64–79 | ✓ |
Tennessee
@
Michigan
|
+7.5 | 143.8 | 78% | 62–95 | ✓ |
UConn
@
Duke
|
+6.7 | 129.9 | 74% | 73–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.