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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.4
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-5.5 | 156.9 | 33% | 90–86 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.2 | 144.6 | 38% | 67–48 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.1 | 155.7 | 62% | 74–69 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.