Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | TLSA -140 RICE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -3.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -3.5 (-2.5) | 141.0 (-7.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -3.2 (-2.8) | 142.3 (-8.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -4.1 (-1.9) | 138.8 (-4.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -3.9 (-2.1) | 140.3 (-6.3) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TLSA 87 – 81 RICE |
| Dec 31, 2025 | TLSA 97 – 48 RICE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | RICE 71 – 50 TLSA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TLSA 93 – 82 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | TLSA 85 – 83 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-9 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#300) | -0.6 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#315) | 0.57 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#300) | 0.62 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#350) | 0.490 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 35.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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