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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–10 on winners spread MAE 8.1 32 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Florida @ Alabama	+2.7	178.3	54%	99–94	✗
Clemson @ Boston College	-13.0	140.4	14%	78–69	✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech	-1.8	141.5	37%	70–67	✓
Chicago State @ Long Island University	+9.2	133.5	84%	57–68	✓
Wagner @ Saint Francis	+2.0	130.5	59%	55–58	✓
Stonehill @ Fairleigh Dickinson	+2.5	140.2	69%	56–71	✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut	+13.4	143.8	88%	67–86	✓
Oklahoma State @ UCF	+5.7	159.0	73%	70–83	✓
Kansas State @ Cincinnati	+6.6	134.0	71%	54–49	✗
Pittsburgh @ NC State	-3.0	140.9	36%	63–71	✗
Rhode Island @ Saint Joseph's	+9.3	151.4	82%	74–91	✓
Massachusetts @ St. Bonaventure	+7.9	139.4	80%	72–73	✓
La Salle @ George Mason	+12.0	131.9	85%	62–69	✓
George Washington @ Fordham	-1.7	145.7	47%	81–58	✓
Xavier @ Butler	-0.0	151.8	44%	91–78	✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb	+6.6	152.1	76%	63–83	✓
Colorado @ Texas Tech	+14.4	142.3	89%	75–91	✓
Missouri @ Oklahoma	-1.2	159.5	54%	84–96	✗
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City	+4.5	135.1	70%	56–73	✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota	-7.4	140.8	21%	74–67	✓
Marquette @ UConn	+3.1	141.8	65%	66–72	✓
Louisiana @ Old Dominion	-0.2	135.4	51%	49–67	✗
Tennessee @ Ole Miss	-2.2	139.1	40%	76–78	✗
California @ Louisville	+11.6	152.6	87%	68–85	✓
Stanford @ Notre Dame	+0.3	139.1	56%	54–56	✓
Davidson @ Loyola Chicago	+4.3	140.3	73%	72–82	✓
Morehead State @ Lindenwood	-1.2	132.5	41%	65–73	✗
Washington @ USC	+6.4	149.2	71%	61–92	✓
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois	-0.2	155.1	52%	85–86	✗
Missouri State @ Illinois State	+3.6	132.8	64%	54–70	✓
San Diego @ Pacific	+0.4	144.4	52%	81–77	✗
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State	-0.7	151.4	47%	71–80	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.