I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–12 on winners spread MAE 7.6 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ UTSA -9.0 157.8 20% 75–70 ✓
Rutgers @ Purdue +11.9 151.8 86% 71–100 ✓
LSU @ Kentucky +12.1 163.4 86% 64–95 ✓
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +0.6 140.0 49% 73–77 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +5.0 140.0 76% 68–69 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +10.2 142.6 85% 75–99 ✓
Green Bay @ Oakland +11.0 149.4 86% 72–96 ✓
Miami @ Georgia Tech +8.2 150.7 82% 74–89 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia Tech -6.0 149.2 19% 91–59 ✓
Saint Louis @ Dayton +7.8 147.7 81% 67–75 ✓
VCU @ Duquesne -6.8 134.3 21% 71–62 ✓
NJIT @ Binghamton +6.9 138.7 74% 75–72 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +6.0 133.7 77% 71–79 ✓
Creighton @ Seton Hall -9.9 134.9 19% 79–61 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo -8.5 151.7 21% 84–69 ✓
Kent State @ Western Michigan -7.5 143.6 25% 77–76 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ohio +10.0 153.9 84% 83–79 ✗
Central Michigan @ Ball State -0.5 145.8 48% 69–67 ✓
Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois -4.2 145.1 28% 71–58 ✓
Akron @ Toledo -4.9 158.9 34% 96–87 ✓
Texas @ Mississippi State +6.9 150.1 75% 87–82 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +9.2 153.1 84% 85–98 ✓
Baylor @ TCU -3.5 139.3 36% 61–58 ✓
Temple @ Tulsa -1.3 151.1 45% 81–77 ✓
Villanova @ Georgetown -1.9 137.6 44% 73–75 ✗
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +3.6 136.9 70% 69–73 ✓
Auburn @ Texas A&M -4.8 145.8 37% 72–83 ✗
BYU @ Iowa State +6.1 151.0 73% 88–85 ✗
West Virginia @ Utah +2.9 139.2 67% 71–69 ✗
Florida State @ Virginia +2.8 135.3 64% 57–60 ✓
Syracuse @ SMU +12.0 155.2 86% 75–77 ✓
San José State @ Colorado State +15.4 143.8 89% 56–83 ✓
New Mexico @ Nevada -0.0 145.7 49% 71–67 ✓
Boise State @ Air Force -15.5 132.4 12% 80–57 ✓
Indiana @ Oregon +5.8 148.3 75% 64–73 ✓
Nebraska @ Ohio State +6.3 145.4 75% 114–116 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State -2.1 139.9 46% 58–62 ✗
Arkansas @ Vanderbilt +3.3 149.0 64% 90–77 ✗
Arizona State @ Arizona +13.3 157.5 88% 100–113 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -1.7 132.8 46% 67–74 ✗
Southern Miss @ Georgia Southern +2.3 147.3 57% 64–78 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan +0.8 149.3 57% 71–65 ✗
DePaul @ Providence +8.3 146.7 78% 80–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.