← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–2 on winners
spread MAE 5.5
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Louisville
@
Duke
|
+8.8 | 143.4 | 77% | 62–73 | ✓ |
Jacksonville State
@
Liberty
|
+4.5 | 136.6 | 67% | 67–79 | ✓ |
Alabama State
@
Jackson State
|
+1.0 | 141.2 | 51% | 60–56 | ✗ |
UC Irvine
@
UC San Diego
|
+2.4 | 137.0 | 61% | 61–75 | ✓ |
Grand Canyon
@
Utah Valley
|
-2.8 | 145.4 | 37% | 89–82 | ✓ |
Cornell
@
Yale
|
+4.8 | 157.3 | 67% | 84–90 | ✓ |
Tennessee
@
Florida
|
+1.8 | 143.2 | 64% | 77–86 | ✓ |
George Mason
@
VCU
|
+5.6 | 130.3 | 73% | 63–68 | ✓ |
UAB
@
Memphis
|
+5.8 | 156.0 | 72% | 72–84 | ✓ |
Wisconsin
@
Michigan
|
-3.0 | 147.4 | 36% | 53–59 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.