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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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18–14 on winners spread MAE 9.6 32 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State	+5.8	144.5	71%	67–88	✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State	+1.6	141.2	63%	50–71	✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack	+2.3	131.6	55%	57–55	✗
Purdue @ Michigan	-2.6	143.7	38%	68–86	✗
East Carolina @ UAB	+3.4	151.5	63%	77–94	✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley	+0.9	133.9	56%	55–68	✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego	+10.0	137.2	83%	51–69	✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech	+1.3	153.7	54%	86–80	✗
Clemson @ Louisville	-1.6	136.5	44%	73–76	✗
UConn @ Creighton	-2.7	143.3	39%	62–71	✗
Boise State @ New Mexico	+0.1	140.8	53%	72–69	✗
Kentucky @ Alabama	+2.9	178.2	65%	70–99	✓
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon	+5.8	142.2	73%	66–75	✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine	+10.6	163.1	83%	78–96	✓
Utah State @ Colorado State	-1.6	140.8	47%	72–83	✗
Maine @ Bryant	+6.9	145.7	77%	59–79	✓
Princeton @ Yale	+6.9	143.3	77%	57–59	✓
Tennessee @ Auburn	+2.6	140.9	56%	70–65	✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State	+0.9	141.3	56%	77–74	✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State	+1.0	143.4	53%	65–66	✓
Loyola Chicago @ VCU	+8.4	135.7	79%	55–62	✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell	+4.8	158.2	71%	71–87	✓
Tulane @ Memphis	+8.5	147.2	78%	77–78	✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason	-0.3	134.0	48%	64–74	✗
Michigan @ Maryland	+3.5	144.7	66%	81–80	✗
Alabama @ Florida	+1.6	179.8	61%	82–104	✓
UAB @ North Texas	+3.5	130.7	67%	66–56	✗
Boise State @ Colorado State	-0.8	135.0	46%	56–69	✗
Arizona @ Houston	+5.1	134.2	74%	64–72	✓
Creighton @ St. John's	+8.4	145.7	82%	66–82	✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona	+0.6	136.7	55%	63–49	✗
Miami (OH) @ Akron	+4.1	157.5	68%	74–76	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.