Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -155 UAB +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -7.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -7.1 (+4.9) | 158.2 (-2.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -5.8 (+6.2) | 156.0 (-0.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -7.4 (+4.6) | 157.7 (-1.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.1 (+5.9) | 156.4 (-0.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UAB 78 – 67 MEM |
| Feb 6, 2026 | MEM 90 – 80 UAB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MEM 88 – 81 UAB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | MEM 100 – 77 UAB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MEM 106 – 87 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 11-2 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#56) | 4.0 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#14) | 0.71 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#24) | 0.80 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#7) | 0.532 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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