Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -375 TTU +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -4.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -4.1 (-0.1) | 141.4 (-7.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -5.7 (-1.7) | 140.8 (-6.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -4.1 (-0.1) | 143.9 (-9.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -5.0 (-1.0) | 144.4 (-10.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TTU 90 – 86 HOU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | HOU 69 – 61 TTU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TTU 82 – 81 HOU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HOU 82 – 59 TTU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | HOU 77 – 54 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 17.7 (#18) | 17.4 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#16) | 3.41 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.95 (#15) | 4.54 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#27) | 0.668 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.77 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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