I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–15 on winners spread MAE 10.5 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Belmont @ Southern Illinois -2.0 147.9 42% 73–68 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara +2.5 146.1 62% 54–62 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State -4.0 140.0 37% 60–63 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +18.2 152.8 89% 69–89 ✓
Robert Morris @ Northern Kentucky +4.8 148.4 70% 92–89 ✗
Long Island University @ Fairleigh Dickinson -6.1 138.3 23% 66–59 ✓
Campbell @ UNC Wilmington +9.3 144.4 83% 75–78 ✓
The Citadel @ VMI +6.1 141.0 77% 82–68 ✗
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky +3.6 146.8 76% 69–89 ✓
Austin Peay @ Lipscomb +4.3 147.4 71% 78–82 ✓
BYU @ Texas Tech +1.7 152.7 62% 71–84 ✓
Louisville @ Pittsburgh -6.0 150.3 29% 100–59 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +2.0 144.1 63% 79–83 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge +7.0 153.3 79% 87–80 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside -0.7 152.7 51% 72–81 ✗
St. John's @ Villanova +3.1 144.6 59% 86–79 ✗
Omaha @ Oral Roberts +0.1 145.4 53% 73–62 ✗
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +2.5 150.3 62% 68–67 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Southern Utah -5.4 140.8 30% 52–74 ✗
Portland @ Loyola Marymount +7.7 145.4 78% 71–58 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Santa Barbara -2.9 139.5 44% 62–77 ✗
Montana @ Montana State +4.3 147.6 73% 67–76 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +2.5 152.0 68% 75–67 ✗
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech +0.2 147.4 52% 71–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ Seattle U -14.1 151.1 15% 71–50 ✓
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State +3.7 166.2 72% 83–84 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State -5.8 158.2 32% 89–93 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Temple -3.3 146.9 38% 79–73 ✓
Penn State @ Maryland +0.0 141.1 61% 73–96 ✓
American University @ Army -3.0 146.5 40% 78–67 ✓
Wichita State @ South Florida +4.8 154.0 71% 86–85 ✗
Charlotte @ East Carolina -3.8 142.9 34% 73–70 ✓
Oakland @ Green Bay -3.0 156.4 44% 88–63 ✓
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +1.6 143.6 61% 82–100 ✓
Tulsa @ UAB -1.3 156.7 54% 99–77 ✓
North Texas @ Tulane +0.1 132.5 64% 71–63 ✗
UTSA @ Memphis +19.4 138.1 91% 69–95 ✓
Arizona State @ Houston +15.0 139.0 88% 73–103 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.