Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | ECU -115 CLT -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -4.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -4.4 (+1.4) | 142.8 (+0.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -3.8 (+0.8) | 142.9 (+0.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -4.3 (+1.3) | 142.1 (+0.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -5.0 (+2.0) | 144.2 (-1.2) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CLT 68 – 56 ECU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ECU 78 – 76 CLT |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ECU 75 – 59 CLT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CLT 82 – 72 ECU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CLT 67 – 52 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-10 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#296) | -0.6 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#303) | -0.45 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#305) | -0.53 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#251) | 0.480 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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