I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–13 on winners spread MAE 9.5 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Florida @ UAB -0.8 166.4 56% 82–69 ✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State -4.1 155.3 27% 98–71 ✓
Merrimack @ Iona +1.9 139.6 60% 60–61 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris +4.1 145.3 67% 76–88 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's -2.3 144.1 38% 77–62 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +9.9 135.3 85% 61–62 ✓
Canisius @ Sacred Heart +7.8 138.3 81% 66–69 ✓
Marist @ Siena -0.2 127.0 47% 50–69 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary +0.2 144.8 52% 70–77 ✓
Campbell @ Charleston +3.1 153.1 75% 83–87 ✓
Towson @ Elon +2.1 138.4 60% 72–59 ✗
Monmouth @ Hampton +1.0 134.1 58% 63–65 ✓
Hofstra @ North Carolina A&T -8.2 146.8 23% 78–79 ✗
Stony Brook @ Northeastern +4.6 145.9 72% 95–80 ✗
South Alabama @ James Madison +1.3 139.6 60% 90–83 ✗
Southern Miss @ Georgia State +0.3 141.8 52% 62–69 ✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern -2.1 160.6 37% 85–68 ✓
Texas State @ Coastal Carolina +2.2 140.9 57% 70–72 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida -5.4 158.6 38% 85–87 ✗
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville +3.7 135.2 73% 77–70 ✗
Western Illinois @ Morehead State +9.0 139.1 83% 66–71 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +0.7 146.8 61% 79–62 ✗
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +5.8 139.3 72% 65–70 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Lindenwood +8.9 144.2 81% 68–89 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana -0.4 134.8 48% 59–51 ✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas +5.6 149.6 73% 69–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Denver -4.7 153.3 30% 82–77 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +7.1 153.4 78% 67–107 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Davis -2.8 149.1 37% 80–74 ✓
Weber State @ Montana +3.5 151.7 72% 65–81 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana State +4.1 143.4 71% 62–74 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho +9.4 157.0 86% 76–86 ✓
Portland State @ Eastern Washington -2.4 149.9 42% 65–61 ✓
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville +0.2 140.1 48% 66–74 ✓
Missouri State @ New Mexico State +8.6 142.2 80% 84–75 ✗
Florida International @ UTEP -1.8 144.3 41% 77–83 ✗
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +3.9 154.9 68% 61–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside -7.1 142.1 22% 80–66 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +14.1 142.9 88% 71–98 ✓
UL Monroe @ App State +13.5 144.1 88% 43–59 ✓
East Carolina @ North Texas +11.7 134.0 82% 63–59 ✗
Mercyhurst @ New Haven +0.6 126.7 52% 61–57 ✗
Stetson @ Austin Peay +13.6 146.1 88% 65–73 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +7.4 155.7 81% 71–86 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Louisiana Tech -2.7 140.0 39% 76–82 ✗
Furman @ UNC Greensboro -4.1 146.5 38% 89–66 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure -9.3 153.0 22% 97–62 ✓
Indiana @ Rutgers -8.2 146.7 25% 82–59 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.