What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–11 on winners spread MAE 8.4 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Notre Dame -13.4 138.2 15% 100–56 ✓
Cincinnati @ Texas Tech +10.9 145.7 85% 68–80 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +5.2 152.1 76% 61–90 ✓
Saint Louis @ Dayton -4.9 151.4 36% 62–77 ✗
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State +1.9 140.1 56% 84–91 ✓
Northwestern @ Indiana +9.1 145.7 79% 72–68 ✗
Marquette @ Georgetown +4.5 149.6 68% 76–60 ✗
Western Michigan @ Bowling Green +9.5 145.7 85% 88–79 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Toledo +11.1 142.8 86% 69–79 ✓
Massachusetts @ Ball State -5.5 139.4 32% 73–74 ✗
Central Michigan @ Kent State +10.9 155.9 84% 81–83 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron +15.9 155.6 89% 85–99 ✓
Louisiana @ Troy +13.1 137.1 86% 59–78 ✓
Old Dominion @ Marshall +7.1 153.9 79% 88–97 ✓
Kentucky @ South Carolina -7.4 151.1 19% 72–63 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State -0.6 140.7 55% 76–71 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State +7.0 143.4 79% 63–64 ✓
Bradley @ UIC +3.2 140.7 68% 86–93 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan +19.3 144.9 90% 67–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ Arkansas State +11.7 153.3 84% 84–89 ✓
Arizona @ Baylor -8.3 155.6 24% 87–80 ✓
Iowa State @ Utah -12.8 141.3 13% 75–59 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +9.2 141.6 81% 70–74 ✓
Arizona State @ TCU +5.7 151.1 76% 78–90 ✓
Wyoming @ Boise State +8.5 145.5 81% 62–72 ✓
Miami @ Florida State -0.7 150.3 50% 83–73 ✓
San José State @ Air Force -7.7 135.2 22% 86–80 ✓
Auburn @ Oklahoma -0.7 159.9 39% 79–91 ✗
Tennessee @ Missouri -4.0 143.0 25% 69–73 ✗
UCF @ BYU +9.5 159.6 82% 97–84 ✗
New Mexico @ Nevada +0.9 145.9 57% 60–67 ✓
USC @ UCLA +7.0 152.9 77% 62–81 ✓
Bucknell @ Army +2.2 140.4 62% 75–73 ✗
Wake Forest @ Boston College -4.3 147.1 34% 67–68 ✗
Morgan State @ South Carolina State +1.5 143.9 60% 90–83 ✗
The Citadel @ Furman +15.3 140.6 88% 51–72 ✓
Oakland @ IU Indianapolis -5.9 163.3 41% 86–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.