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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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59–26 on winners spread MAE 8.7 85 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ Dayton +0.6 148.0 53% 68–62 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Brown -1.8 140.9 42% 82–61 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +11.1 158.1 86% 78–86 ✓
Central Michigan @ Ball State -0.0 136.3 43% 69–85 ✗
Buffalo @ Toledo +5.9 149.6 76% 78–99 ✓
Columbia @ Harvard +1.7 131.8 59% 71–81 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota -2.0 149.5 42% 76–62 ✓
Valparaiso @ Bradley +2.9 140.5 64% 84–90 ✓
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +7.3 150.8 75% 70–84 ✓
West Georgia @ Queens University +5.5 159.5 71% 63–71 ✓
UCF @ West Virginia +3.1 138.6 70% 62–77 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee State +1.1 135.8 62% 55–68 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +1.4 134.6 57% 74–55 ✗
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama +3.3 148.9 63% 94–85 ✗
St. John's @ Seton Hall -4.4 132.9 31% 72–65 ✓
Portland @ Washington State +5.9 145.6 74% 74–68 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Ohio -6.9 157.8 27% 110–108 ✓
Presbyterian @ Radford +2.1 142.4 63% 91–85 ✗
Denver @ North Dakota -2.6 153.9 42% 67–83 ✗
UNLV @ San Diego State +9.7 156.3 83% 86–89 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State +0.2 127.0 48% 74–52 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State -2.7 141.3 37% 61–66 ✗
San Diego @ Seattle U +7.0 140.6 77% 56–58 ✓
Houston @ Oklahoma State -10.1 145.5 13% 82–75 ✓
Arkansas @ Missouri -2.9 162.0 43% 88–84 ✓
Davidson @ St. Bonaventure +1.4 136.3 53% 68–63 ✗
Butler @ DePaul +0.6 140.8 58% 81–71 ✗
Xavier @ Villanova +10.9 151.1 85% 78–91 ✓
Notre Dame @ Boston College -3.0 140.3 44% 69–77 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Clemson +15.0 140.5 89% 76–79 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Delaware -1.3 136.3 39% 81–38 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Virginia +10.9 150.1 87% 72–76 ✓
Campbell @ Stony Brook -2.3 143.4 35% 96–89 ✓
Stonehill @ Mercyhurst +5.2 135.7 69% 51–56 ✓
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +14.0 139.8 87% 76–83 ✓
UNC Asheville @ High Point +11.3 147.5 83% 71–75 ✓
UConn @ Marquette -7.4 140.1 26% 62–68 ✗
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's +9.7 139.1 85% 76–88 ✓
South Carolina @ Ole Miss +5.7 144.7 76% 64–61 ✗
UAlbany @ UMass Lowell +2.6 139.7 64% 76–81 ✓
New Hampshire @ UMBC +11.4 140.9 87% 69–84 ✓
Arizona State @ Iowa State +14.3 148.5 88% 65–86 ✓
Kansas State @ Kansas +13.3 155.3 88% 85–104 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee +4.2 148.3 75% 86–82 ✗
Louisville @ Miami -0.8 154.9 58% 92–89 ✓
Cornell @ Dartmouth -2.6 160.7 40% 111–90 ✓
George Washington @ Loyola Chicago -10.7 148.4 18% 62–68 ✗
Rhode Island @ Fordham +0.1 131.0 49% 49–61 ✓
Richmond @ Duquesne +3.7 145.8 70% 77–79 ✓
Cincinnati @ TCU +3.5 139.6 72% 63–73 ✓
SMU @ Florida State -1.3 161.5 50% 78–91 ✗
Princeton @ Yale +13.1 137.2 87% 53–78 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Florida International -0.6 157.2 45% 67–92 ✗
Sam Houston @ Liberty +1.8 151.6 61% 72–79 ✓
Bryant @ Vermont +9.7 136.8 86% 57–77 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University +8.4 139.8 79% 56–64 ✓
Stanford @ NC State +6.0 152.7 72% 85–84 ✗
Northeastern @ Drexel +2.3 134.9 58% 77–84 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +3.6 152.2 64% 75–72 ✗
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +7.5 143.0 80% 71–73 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Missouri State -0.3 143.7 51% 75–63 ✓
Jacksonville State @ UTEP -0.2 136.9 46% 64–61 ✓
Georgia @ Mississippi State -6.4 170.2 28% 102–96 ✓
Drake @ UIC +3.3 142.4 65% 51–72 ✓
Wisconsin @ Purdue +9.7 153.7 78% 97–93 ✗
Florida @ Kentucky -3.5 155.6 39% 84–77 ✓
Saint Louis @ George Mason -5.6 142.5 32% 57–86 ✗
New Mexico @ Utah State +6.4 149.5 76% 90–94 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Wichita State +6.0 149.2 75% 70–88 ✓
Boise State @ Colorado State +1.6 142.2 57% 78–67 ✗
California @ Wake Forest +3.8 149.6 66% 73–80 ✓
Kennesaw State @ New Mexico State +1.8 153.1 64% 76–79 ✓
Maine @ NJIT +2.5 131.5 58% 58–60 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse +4.2 140.3 63% 71–69 ✗
Wyoming @ San José State -6.1 143.1 29% 88–78 ✓
Utah @ Baylor +10.7 150.9 84% 75–101 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas +2.9 147.6 59% 63–73 ✓
Indiana @ Ohio State +4.9 147.4 72% 78–91 ✓
Texas A&M @ LSU -0.0 166.5 47% 94–91 ✓
Furman @ Samford -0.8 144.0 49% 86–81 ✓
Marist @ Quinnipiac +0.0 131.6 55% 77–75 ✗
Hampton @ Towson +4.5 128.6 70% 68–74 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley -1.8 130.9 41% 73–69 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +14.2 145.1 88% 61–76 ✓
Southern Miss @ App State +2.5 135.7 57% 86–73 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.