Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -108 JXST -112 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -0.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -0.2 (-2.8) | 136.9 (-11.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -0.2 (-2.8) | 134.6 (-9.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -0.0 (-3.0) | 135.2 (-10.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -0.0 (-3.0) | 137.1 (-12.1) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UTEP 69 – 64 JXST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JXST 73 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 24, 2025 | JXST 73 – 66 UTEP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTEP 72 – 65 JXST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTEP 79 – 71 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#261) | -2.5 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#259) | -0.70 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#254) | -0.71 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#257) | 0.468 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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