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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
22–7 on winners
spread MAE 7.5
29 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+10.9 | 136.7 | 84% | 51–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.2 | 141.6 | 41% | 73–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.6 | 137.1 | 66% | 88–84 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.7 | 131.1 | 74% | 65–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.4 | 149.6 | 63% | 78–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.1 | 130.3 | 62% | 53–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.8 | 143.6 | 62% | 66–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.8 | 134.6 | 84% | 61–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.4 | 134.9 | 74% | 47–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.8 | 163.3 | 65% | 79–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.8 | 138.5 | 74% | 72–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.0 | 153.2 | 68% | 63–78 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 148.2 | 45% | 62–64 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.7 | 155.6 | 76% | 76–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.9 | 134.6 | 59% | 59–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.4 | 162.1 | 79% | 65–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.0 | 162.7 | 68% | 91–74 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.8 | 143.0 | 67% | 70–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.2 | 138.0 | 84% | 63–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.2 | 131.9 | 48% | 62–60 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.6 | 153.3 | 84% | 64–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.5 | 157.8 | 77% | 90–93 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.4 | 140.4 | 30% | 73–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.7 | 142.9 | 76% | 64–77 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.1 | 149.6 | 48% | 68–81 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.6 | 146.1 | 61% | 62–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.9 | 137.8 | 56% | 74–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.1 | 137.2 | 66% | 52–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.3 | 151.1 | 59% | 72–66 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.