Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -118 MEM -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +10 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -1.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -0.7 (-10.7) | 150.1 (+19.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -0.1 (-10.1) | 150.6 (+19.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -1.8 (-11.8) | 146.5 (+23.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -1.6 (-11.6) | 147.3 (+22.7) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UAB 78 – 67 MEM |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MEM 84 – 72 UAB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MEM 88 – 81 UAB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | MEM 100 – 77 UAB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MEM 106 – 87 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-9 | 10-6 |
| Away | 10-2 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#116) | 4.9 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#128) | 0.36 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#120) | 0.67 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#147) | 0.503 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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