Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -400 UAB +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +19 | 193 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -8.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (+32.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -7.9 (+11.1) | 156.9 (+36.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -7.9 (+11.1) | 155.8 (+37.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -8.1 (+10.9) | 155.2 (+37.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -8.0 (+11.0) | 155.2 (+37.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UAB 78 – 67 MEM |
| Feb 6, 2026 | MEM 90 – 80 UAB |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MEM 84 – 72 UAB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MEM 88 – 81 UAB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | MEM 100 – 77 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#75) | 2.5 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#54) | 1.05 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#56) | 1.02 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#48) | 0.561 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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