Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -290 UTEP +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -7.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -5.9 (-10.9) | 133.5 (-0.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -4.7 (-9.7) | 131.3 (+1.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -5.2 (-10.2) | 130.5 (+2.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -5.1 (-10.1) | 132.9 (+0.1) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | JXST 64 – 61 UTEP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JXST 73 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 24, 2025 | JXST 73 – 66 UTEP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTEP 72 – 65 JXST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTEP 79 – 71 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#194) | -5.9 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#201) | -1.27 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#193) | -1.46 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#181) | 0.454 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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