Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -170 UTEP +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -4.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -3.5 (+4.5) | 139.3 (-1.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -3.5 (+4.5) | 138.4 (-0.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -3.5 (+4.5) | 138.9 (-0.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -4.2 (+3.8) | 138.6 (-0.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | JXST 64 – 61 UTEP |
| Feb 12, 2026 | UTEP 69 – 64 JXST |
| Jan 24, 2025 | JXST 73 – 66 UTEP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTEP 72 – 65 JXST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTEP 79 – 71 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#122) | 1.1 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#96) | 0.76 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#102) | 0.48 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#72) | 0.538 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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