I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Conference USA · Pete Mathews Coliseum · March 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -4.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money JXST -213 / UTEP +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual UTEP +7 137 Lost
Massey JXST -5.2 (-12.2) — —
Massey Totals — 129.7 (+7.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -4.0 (-11.0) 132.6 (+4.4) 54% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -3.8 (-10.8) 133.7 (+3.3) 68% ✗
Baseline ML JXST -4.0 (-11.0) 134.5 (+2.5) 66% ✗
Baseline Plus ML JXST -4.6 (-11.6) 133.5 (+3.5) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 JXST 64 – 61 UTEP
Feb 12, 2026 UTEP 69 – 64 JXST
Feb 22, 2025 JXST 73 – 65 UTEP
Jan 24, 2025 JXST 73 – 66 UTEP
Feb 2, 2024 UTEP 79 – 71 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST UTEP
Overall 14-18 18-16
Conference 6-10 7-9
Home 8-7 13-5
Away 5-10 2-9
Neutral 1-1 3-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 67.2 68.9
Avg Pts Against 67.6 69.1
Massey -0.8 (#175) -2.8 (#214)
Bradley-Terry -0.52 (#228) -0.62 (#242)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.18 (#180) -0.62 (#228)
RPI 0.468 (#250) 0.453 (#273)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST UTEP
FG% 43.6% 42.1%
3PT% 30.9% 29.7%
REB / G 36.8 31.4
OREB / G 11.9 10.4
AST / TO 0.76 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 46.9%
TOV% 19.9% 20.7%
ORB% 34.0% 28.8%
FT Rate 24.9% 29.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 26.1%
DRB% 74.1% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 33.3%

Game Analysis

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