Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -192 TEM +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -7.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -6.4 (-2.4) | 143.5 (+6.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -6.5 (-2.5) | 143.4 (+6.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -5.9 (-1.9) | 143.0 (+7.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -5.8 (-1.8) | 143.2 (+6.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAU 63 – 59 TEM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FAU 79 – 73 TEM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FAU 83 – 81 TEM |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TEM 74 – 73 FAU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FAU 80 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#111) | -0.2 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#140) | -0.11 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#114) | -0.25 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#104) | 0.492 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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