Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +170 FAU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +2 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -0.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -0.0 (-2.0) | 162.8 (+1.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -0.9 (-1.1) | 163.7 (+0.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -0.5 (-1.5) | 161.2 (+2.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -1.1 (-0.9) | 161.7 (+2.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAU 63 – 59 TEM |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAU 77 – 73 TEM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FAU 79 – 73 TEM |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TEM 74 – 73 FAU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FAU 80 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#147) | 4.4 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#159) | 0.57 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#161) | 0.83 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#169) | 0.543 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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