Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -102 TEM -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -2.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -2.0 (+2.0) | 145.3 (-23.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -2.6 (+1.4) | 143.5 (-21.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -2.1 (+1.9) | 143.1 (-21.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -2.4 (+1.6) | 143.8 (-21.8) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAU 77 – 73 TEM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FAU 79 – 73 TEM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FAU 83 – 81 TEM |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TEM 74 – 73 FAU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FAU 80 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#119) | 0.6 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#133) | -0.21 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#122) | -0.30 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#114) | 0.492 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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