Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -1400 TEM +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -14.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -13.1 (-14.1) | 148.7 (-1.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -12.1 (-13.1) | 148.1 (-1.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -12.5 (-13.5) | 148.0 (-1.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -11.7 (-12.7) | 148.1 (-1.1) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAU 63 – 59 TEM |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAU 77 – 73 TEM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FAU 79 – 73 TEM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FAU 83 – 81 TEM |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FAU 80 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#30) | -1.9 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#33) | -0.42 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#33) | -0.53 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#15) | 0.481 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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