Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WIU +525 LIN -750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +22 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -10.1 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -7.6 (-14.4) | 137.8 (+22.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -8.9 (-13.1) | 139.2 (+20.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -7.7 (-14.3) | 137.7 (+22.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -8.5 (-13.5) | 134.0 (+26.0) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2025 | LIN 92 – 76 WIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WIU 86 – 81 LIN |
| Dec 21, 2024 | LIN 71 – 65 WIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WIU 79 – 71 LIN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WIU 68 – 57 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 11-9 |
| Home | 4-11 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -19.6 (#362) | -6.5 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.54 (#363) | -0.96 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.41 (#363) | -1.46 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#362) | 0.471 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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