Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -110 LIN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +5 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -0.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -0.2 (+4.8) | 142.7 (+24.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -0.7 (+4.3) | 141.1 (+25.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -0.1 (+4.9) | 140.0 (+27.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.1 (+5.1) | 142.7 (+24.3) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIN 91 – 69 WIU |
| Dec 19, 2025 | LIN 92 – 76 WIU |
| Dec 21, 2024 | LIN 71 – 65 WIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WIU 79 – 71 LIN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WIU 68 – 57 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#348) | -10.5 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#341) | -1.34 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#349) | -2.36 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#349) | 0.452 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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