Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +180 WIU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +8 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -5.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -5.5 (-2.5) | 129.7 (+20.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -6.4 (-1.6) | 130.8 (+19.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -6.4 (-1.6) | 129.8 (+20.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -5.4 (-2.6) | 130.2 (+19.8) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIN 91 – 69 WIU |
| Dec 19, 2025 | LIN 92 – 76 WIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WIU 86 – 81 LIN |
| Dec 21, 2024 | LIN 71 – 65 WIU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WIU 68 – 57 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#345) | -4.6 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#341) | -0.20 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#340) | -0.01 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#342) | 0.491 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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