Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -1000 WIU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +16 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -17.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -12.9 (+3.1) | 145.1 (+22.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -13.2 (+2.8) | 144.5 (+23.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -12.3 (+3.7) | 143.4 (+24.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -13.0 (+3.0) | 143.6 (+24.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIN 91 – 69 WIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WIU 86 – 81 LIN |
| Dec 21, 2024 | LIN 71 – 65 WIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WIU 79 – 71 LIN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WIU 68 – 57 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 1-19 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-11 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#188) | -15.1 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#139) | -3.01 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#147) | -4.52 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#141) | 0.367 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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