Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LT +164 LIB -198 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +16 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -5.6 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -3.8 (-12.2) | 134.8 (-6.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -5.6 (-10.4) | 131.5 (-3.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -4.2 (-11.8) | 130.0 (-2.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -4.4 (-11.6) | 132.6 (-4.6) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LT 76 – 71 LIB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIB 77 – 53 LT |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LT 79 – 74 LIB |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LIB 65 – 62 LT |
| Jan 14, 2024 | LT 80 – 76 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 17-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#247) | 3.8 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#239) | 1.18 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#253) | 1.37 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#273) | 0.575 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 58.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.