Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MONM -118 CAM -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -0.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -0.5 (+9.5) | 145.6 (-7.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -0.6 (+10.6) | 145.5 (-7.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -0.0 (+10.0) | 144.4 (-6.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -0.1 (+9.9) | 145.3 (-7.3) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | MONM 88 – 73 CAM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CAM 68 – 65 MONM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CAM 81 – 58 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MONM 90 – 67 CAM |
| Feb 16, 2024 | MONM 88 – 87 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#178) | -1.3 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#173) | -0.05 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#184) | -0.12 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#163) | 0.504 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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