Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CAM -205 MONM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +15 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -3.3 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -2.4 (-17.4) | 143.5 (+17.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -3.3 (-18.3) | 143.6 (+17.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -2.8 (-17.8) | 142.4 (+18.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -2.7 (-17.7) | 143.6 (+17.4) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONM 74 – 64 CAM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CAM 68 – 65 MONM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CAM 81 – 58 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MONM 90 – 67 CAM |
| Feb 16, 2024 | MONM 88 – 87 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#199) | -2.4 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#173) | -0.81 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#167) | -0.98 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#142) | 0.459 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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