Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MONM -120 CAM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -5.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -1.6 (-4.6) | 144.9 (-11.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -1.6 (-4.6) | 145.6 (-12.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -1.8 (-4.8) | 145.5 (-12.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -2.2 (-5.2) | 146.6 (-13.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONM 74 – 64 CAM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MONM 88 – 73 CAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CAM 81 – 58 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MONM 90 – 67 CAM |
| Feb 16, 2024 | MONM 88 – 87 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#234) | -5.4 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#274) | -0.29 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#293) | -0.30 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#276) | 0.494 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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