Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -213 CAM +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +23 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -6.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -6.1 (+16.9) | 143.1 (+13.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -4.0 (+19.0) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -6.4 (+16.6) | 142.3 (+14.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -6.0 (+17.0) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONM 74 – 64 CAM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MONM 88 – 73 CAM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CAM 68 – 65 MONM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CAM 81 – 58 MONM |
| Feb 16, 2024 | MONM 88 – 87 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#190) | -8.0 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#159) | -1.25 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#158) | -1.53 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#145) | 0.434 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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