Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU +700 UNM -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -21.3 (+20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -15.3 (+14.3) | 159.0 (-14.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -12.5 (+11.5) | 158.3 (-13.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -11.2 (+10.2) | 155.3 (-10.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -14.4 (+13.4) | 156.0 (-11.0) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | NMSU 76 – 68 UNM |
| Dec 8, 2024 | NMSU 89 – 83 UNM |
| Dec 3, 2023 | UNM 106 – 62 NMSU |
| Dec 7, 2021 | NMSU 78 – 76 UNM |
| Dec 1, 2021 | UNM 101 – 94 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#337) | 14.3 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#316) | 2.17 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#318) | 2.55 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#295) | 0.601 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.9% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.