Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WKU +140 LIB -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -1.8 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -1.2 (+3.2) | 140.1 (-2.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -1.8 (+3.8) | 139.3 (-1.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -0.5 (+2.5) | 140.2 (-2.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -1.6 (+3.6) | 140.7 (-2.7) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WKU 94 – 73 LIB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | LIB 76 – 69 WKU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LIB 90 – 61 WKU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | WKU 71 – 70 LIB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LIB 82 – 79 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#160) | 6.4 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#113) | 1.39 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#135) | 1.77 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#139) | 0.552 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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