Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -500 WKU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +1 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -11.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -9.9 (-10.9) | 142.4 (-1.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -9.1 (-10.1) | 140.8 (+0.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -10.4 (-11.4) | 140.2 (+0.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -9.7 (-10.7) | 140.7 (+0.3) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WKU 94 – 73 LIB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | LIB 76 – 69 WKU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LIB 90 – 61 WKU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LIB 82 – 79 WKU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WKU 70 – 68 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#63) | 1.6 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#41) | 0.66 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#42) | 1.03 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#54) | 0.526 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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