Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -340 WKU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +21 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -8.3 (-29.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -7.8 (-28.8) | 146.7 (+20.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -8.6 (-29.6) | 146.9 (+20.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -8.5 (-29.5) | 146.4 (+20.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -8.3 (-29.3) | 147.2 (+19.8) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | LIB 76 – 69 WKU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LIB 90 – 61 WKU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | WKU 71 – 70 LIB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LIB 82 – 79 WKU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WKU 70 – 68 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 11-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#102) | -0.2 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#51) | 0.05 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#62) | -0.06 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#31) | 0.515 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.