Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WKU +135 LIB -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +29 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -2.9 (-26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -2.5 (-26.5) | 140.2 (+10.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -1.5 (-27.5) | 140.8 (+10.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -2.1 (-26.9) | 137.8 (+13.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -2.4 (-26.6) | 137.0 (+14.0) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WKU 94 – 73 LIB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | LIB 76 – 69 WKU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | WKU 71 – 70 LIB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LIB 82 – 79 WKU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WKU 70 – 68 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#147) | 7.2 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#126) | 1.61 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#145) | 2.04 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#111) | 0.559 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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