Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -138 WKU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -0.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.3 (+3.7) | 151.9 (+0.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -1.2 (+2.8) | 150.8 (+1.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.6 (+3.4) | 146.8 (+5.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.0 (+4.0) | 147.5 (+4.5) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | SHSU 73 – 58 WKU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | WKU 102 – 91 SHSU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SHSU 78 – 62 WKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WKU 75 – 66 SHSU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SHSU 79 – 77 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#234) | 0.6 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#207) | 0.98 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#225) | 0.78 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#173) | 0.537 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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