But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Conference USA · E.A. Diddle Arena · February 21, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money WKU -185 / SHSU +155
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual SHSU +16 140 Lost
Massey WKU -6.7 (-22.7) — —
Massey Totals — 158.1 (-18.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 81% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 79% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WKU -5.1 (-21.1) 155.6 (-15.6) 73% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -4.8 (-20.8) 155.7 (-15.7) 70% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -5.0 (-21.0) 152.0 (-12.0) 72% ✗
Baseline ML WKU -5.5 (-21.5) 154.5 (-14.5) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 SHSU 73 – 58 WKU
Jan 2, 2026 WKU 102 – 91 SHSU
Jan 25, 2025 WKU 75 – 66 SHSU
Feb 2, 2024 SHSU 79 – 77 WKU
Jan 11, 2024 SHSU 78 – 74 WKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WKU SHSU
Overall 17-15 13-19
Conference 8-10 6-12
Home 13-5 9-4
Away 4-9 3-13
Neutral 0-1 1-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.3 72.9
Avg Pts Against 74.8 77.1
Massey 2.1 (#128) -1.5 (#189)
Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#129) -0.40 (#209)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.42 (#141) -0.26 (#190)
RPI 0.532 (#114) 0.485 (#209)
Shooting & Four Factors WKU SHSU
FG% 42.5% 42.9%
3PT% 33.0% 37.5%
REB / G 37.8 34.2
OREB / G 9.2 11.0
AST / TO 0.96 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 50.1%
TOV% 16.0% 18.8%
ORB% 23.5% 31.1%
FT Rate 23.9% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 17.8%
DRB% 72.1% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 29.0% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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