The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Conference USA · Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · January 24, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -5.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money SHSU -230 / WKU +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +15 131 Won
Massey SHSU -7.4 (+7.6) — —
Massey Totals — 160.8 (-29.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 81% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -6.1 (+8.9) 153.3 (-22.3) 75% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHSU -4.6 (+10.4) 152.8 (-21.8) 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -6.1 (+8.9) 149.3 (-18.3) 76% ✓
Baseline ML SHSU -6.7 (+8.3) 150.5 (-19.5) 76% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 2, 2026 WKU 102 – 91 SHSU
Feb 21, 2025 SHSU 78 – 62 WKU
Jan 25, 2025 WKU 75 – 66 SHSU
Feb 2, 2024 SHSU 79 – 77 WKU
Jan 11, 2024 SHSU 78 – 74 WKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU WKU
Overall 22-12 18-14
Conference 13-7 11-9
Home 13-1 12-4
Away 6-10 5-7
Neutral 3-1 1-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 80.0 77.9
Avg Pts Against 76.9 77.0
Massey 4.4 (#108) 0.2 (#163)
Bradley-Terry 0.61 (#116) 0.04 (#168)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.81 (#112) -0.05 (#169)
RPI 0.546 (#88) 0.506 (#158)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU WKU
FG% 45.3% 40.1%
3PT% 37.1% 32.1%
REB / G 38.8 40.7
OREB / G 13.1 14.3
AST / TO 1.20 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 46.2%
TOV% 17.4% 14.4%
ORB% 36.0% 33.9%
FT Rate 22.6% 29.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 17.8%
DRB% 68.7% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 30.5%

Game Analysis

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